ILSTSS2S (LS4P) Kickoff Workshop (By Invitation Only)

Dec 8 - 9, 2018 | Washington D.C.

Agenda of “International Workshop of First Phase of GEWEX/GASS LS4P Initiative and TPEMIP”

Day 1: 8th Dec 2018 (Sat.)

8:30 – 9:00 Registration

9:00 – 9:10 Welcome Address by – Xue, Yao, Boone

9:10 – 9:45 Sponsor Project Presentation

9:10 – 9:20 Global Energy and Water Exchange (GEWEX)Peter van Oevelen

9:20 – 9:30 Global Atmospheric System Studies (GASS)Xubin Zeng/Daniel Klocke

9:30 – 9:40 Pan-TPEAi likun

General Session Chairs: Aaron Boone, Peter van Oevelen

9:40 – 10:00 Climate, Water and Energy Exchanges (CWEX): a new mechanism to facilitate US interagency research to enhance our predictive understanding of the water cycle and energy fluxes of the changing Earth and global climate system Jennifer Saleem Arrigo (CWEX)

10:00 – 10:20 Soil moisture and subseasonal forecasts: Lessons from GLACE-2 and beyondRandal Koster (GSFC/NASA)

10:20 – 10:40 Coffee Break

10:40 – 11:00 Impacts of Snow Darkening by Deposition of Light-Absorbing Aerosols on Hydroclimate and heatwaves of Eurasia During Boreal Spring and SummerBill Lau (UMD)

11:00 – 11:20 Impact of initialized land temperature on sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction (LS4P) – A GEWEX/GASS Initiative: Idea developmentYongkang Xue (UCLA)

11:20 – 11:40 Realistic land initialization impacts in JMA operational seasonal prediction systemYuhei Takaya (MRI/JMA)

11:40 – 11:55 NCEP S2S ActivityVijay Tallapragada (NCEP/NOAA)

11:55 – 12:10 Meteo France S2S activityAaron Boone (Meteo France)

12:10 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 13:50 Status and plans for Phase II of the WWRP/WCRP Sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction project (WCRP/WWRP/S2S)Andrew Robertson

Session: East Asian Prediction (I)

13:50 – 14:10 Impact of Land Surface Temperature Anomaly in KIAPS developing modelMyung-Seo Koo (KIAPS/KMA)

14:10 – 14:30 Impact of Initial Land Temperature over Tibetan Plateau on the Eastern China Summer Rainfall predictionZhaohui Lin (IAP/CAS) 

14:30 – 14:50 Data integration and service for the Third PoleXin Li (ITPCAS) 

14:50 – 15:10 Preliminary Observational Results from the Third Tibetan Plateau Atmospheric Scientific Experiment (TIPEX-III)Ping Zhao (CAMS/CMA) 

15:10 – 15:30 Tibetan Plateau surface air temperature estimation and analysis from satellite observationsShulin Liang (UMD) 

15:30 – 15:50 Coffee Break

Session: North American Prediction

15:50 – 16:10 DOE ARM data products for land-related climate studiesQi Tang/Xie (IINL/DOE) 

16:10 – 16:30 Potential land anomaly effects on hydrologic prediction in the U.S.Craig Ferguson (U. Albany) 

16:30 – 16:50 The impact of snow and soil moisture on atmospheric processes Mike Brunke (U. Arizona)

16:50 – 17:10 Statistical prediction of the United States spring-summer precipitation from the Western US spring surface temperature anomalies using canonical correlation analysisSam Shen (SDSU) 

17:10 – 17:30 Prospective for the ILSTSS2S project, brief over view of the ILSTSS2S plan, and major issues for discussionY. Xue (UCLA)

18:30 – Dinner and Social

 

Day 2: 9th Dec 2018 (Sun.)

Session: II East Asian Prediction (II)

8:30 – 8:50 TPEMIP RCM model intercomparison,Shuyu Wang (NJU) 

8:50 – 9:10 Climate memory of the Eurasian land process associated with the Arctic amplificationTetsu Nakamura (Hokkado Univ.) 

9:10 – 9:30 Impacts of climate variability over Tibet on North American drought development during boreal spring and summerHailan Wang (GSFC/NASA) 

9:30 – 9:45 Influence of the Madden–Julian oscillation on Tibetan Plateau snow cover at the intraseasonal time-scale Weidong Guo (NJU) 

9:45 – 10:00 Moisture Sinks: How Monsoons and ENSO interfere with the propagation of MJO across the Maritime Continent
Samson Hagos (PPNL/DOE) 

10:00 – 10:20 Coffee Break

10:20 – 10:40 Lessons, difficulties, and Issues in initialization of land surface temperature and tests of its effect based on our research in past decadesY. Xue (UCLA) 

10:40 – 10:55 Rationale and issues in RCM downscaling in LST S2S study – Ismaila Diallo (UCLA) 

10:55 – 12:00 Open discussion on the experimental plan

12:00 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:30 Further discussions on experimental design, publication plan, and next workshop

15:30 Workshop adjourned

Free exchange and social