ILSTSS2S (LS4P) Kickoff Workshop (By Invitation Only)

Dec 8 - 9, 2018 | Washington D.C.

Agenda of “International Workshop of First Phase of GEWEX/GASS LS4P Initiative and TPEMIP”

Day 1: 8th Dec 2018 (Sat.)

8:30 – 9:00 Registration

9:00 – 9:10 Welcome Address by – Xue, Yao, Boone

9:10 – 9:45 Sponsor Project Presentation

9:10 – 9:20 Global Energy and Water Exchange (GEWEX)– Peter van Oevelen

9:20 – 9:30 Global Atmospheric System Studies (GASS) – Xubin Zeng/Daniel Klocke

9:30 – 9:40 Pan-TPE – Ai likun

General Session Chairs: Aaron Boone, Peter van Oevelen

9:40 – 10:00 Climate, Water and Energy Exchanges (CWEX): a new mechanism to facilitate US interagency research to enhance our predictive understanding of the water cycle and energy fluxes of the changing Earth and global climate system – Jennifer Saleem Arrigo (CWEX)

10:00 – 10:20 Soil moisture and subseasonal forecasts: Lessons from GLACE-2 and beyond – Randal Koster (GSFC/NASA)

10:20 – 10:40 Coffee Break

10:40 – 11:00 Impacts of Snow Darkening by Deposition of Light-Absorbing Aerosols on Hydroclimate and heatwaves of Eurasia During Boreal Spring and Summer – Bill Lau (UMD)

11:00 – 11:20 Impact of initialized land temperature on sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction (LS4P) – A GEWEX/GASS Initiative: Idea development – Yongkang Xue (UCLA)

11:20 – 11:40 Realistic land initialization impacts in JMA operational seasonal prediction system – Yuhei Takaya (MRI/JMA)

11:40 – 11:55 NCEP S2S Activity – Vijay Tallapragada (NCEP/NOAA)

11:55 – 12:10 Meteo France S2S activity – Aaron Boone (Meteo France)

12:10 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 13:50 Status and plans for Phase II of the WWRP/WCRP Sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction project (WCRP/WWRP/S2S) – Andrew Robertson

Session: East Asian Prediction (I)

13:50 – 14:10 Impact of Land Surface Temperature Anomaly in KIAPS developing model – Myung-Seo Koo (KIAPS/KMA)

14:10 – 14:30 Impact of Initial Land Temperature over Tibetan Plateau on the Eastern China Summer Rainfall prediction– Zhaohui Lin (IAP/CAS) 

14:30 – 14:50 Data integration and service for the Third Pole – Xin Li (ITPCAS) 

14:50 – 15:10 Preliminary Observational Results from the Third Tibetan Plateau Atmospheric Scientific Experiment (TIPEX-III) – Ping Zhao (CAMS/CMA) 

15:10 – 15:30 Tibetan Plateau surface air temperature estimation and analysis from satellite observations – Shulin Liang (UMD) 

15:30 – 15:50 Coffee Break

Session: North American Prediction

15:50 – 16:10 DOE ARM data products for land-related climate studies – Qi Tang/Xie (IINL/DOE) 

16:10 – 16:30 Potential land anomaly effects on hydrologic prediction in the U.S. – Craig Ferguson (U. Albany) 

16:30 – 16:50 The impact of snow and soil moisture on atmospheric processes – Mike Brunke (U. Arizona)

16:50 – 17:10 Statistical prediction of the United States spring-summer precipitation from the Western US spring surface temperature anomalies using canonical correlation analysis – Sam Shen (SDSU) 

17:10 – 17:30 Prospective for the ILSTSS2S project, brief over view of the ILSTSS2S plan, and major issues for discussion – Y. Xue (UCLA)

18:30 – Dinner and Social

 

Day 2: 9th Dec 2018 (Sun.)

Session: II East Asian Prediction (II)

8:30 – 8:50 TPEMIP RCM model intercomparison, – Shuyu Wang (NJU) 

8:50 – 9:10 Climate memory of the Eurasian land process associated with the Arctic amplification – Tetsu Nakamura (Hokkado Univ.) 

9:10 – 9:30 Impacts of climate variability over Tibet on North American drought development during boreal spring and summer – Hailan Wang (GSFC/NASA) 

9:30 – 9:45 Influence of the Madden–Julian oscillation on Tibetan Plateau snow cover at the intraseasonal time-scale – Weidong Guo (NJU) 

9:45 – 10:00 Moisture Sinks: How Monsoons and ENSO interfere with the propagation of MJO across the Maritime Continent
– Samson Hagos (PPNL/DOE) 

10:00 – 10:20 Coffee Break

10:20 – 10:40 Lessons, difficulties, and Issues in initialization of land surface temperature and tests of its effect based on our research in past decades – Y. Xue (UCLA) 

10:40 – 10:55 Rationale and issues in RCM downscaling in LST S2S study – Ismaila Diallo (UCLA) 

10:55 – 12:00 Open discussion on the experimental plan

12:00 – 13:30 Lunch

13:30 – 15:30 Further discussions on experimental design, publication plan, and next workshop

15:30 Workshop adjourned

Free exchange and social