2nd GEWEX Earth’s Energy Imbalance Assessment Workshop

Jun 1 - 5, 2026 | Pasadena (CA) USA

Logistics


When: June 1-5, 8:30 am – 6:00 pm
Where: Justine Ballroom, Hotel Dena, Pasadena, CA

Monday 1 June 2026


Setting the stage
08:00RegistrationWing Sze Lui-Small, JPL
08:30LogisticsMaria Hakuba, JPL
08:40NASA WelcomeDavid Considine, NASA
08:50JPL WelcomeDuane Waliser, JPL
09:00JPL Center for Climate Sciences WelcomeJoao Teixeira, JPL
09:10Workshop goals & prioritiesMaria Hakuba, JPL
09:20Introductory talkGraeme Stephens (invited), JPL
09:40How the 26-year CERES record of Earth’s energy imbalance challenges understandingClare Singer (invited)
University of Colorado
10:00BREAK
Theme 1: Science of Earth’s Energy Imbalance
Chairs: Senne van Loon, Mark Zelinka, Patrick Taylor
10:20Inferred surface energy fluxes: uncertainties and EO-based land constraints Susanna Winkelbauer
University of Vienna (v)
10:40The Atmosphere’s Substantial Role in Interannual Variability of Earth’s Energy ImbalanceMichael Mayer
University of Vienna (v)
11:00Declining wildfire and biomass burning aerosol emissions may explain increasing energy imbalance, and could fast track future global warmingThorsten Mauritsen
Stockholm University (v)
11:20Assessment of the Earth’s Net Incoming Energy Greg Kopp
Univ. of Colorado/LASP (v)
11:40DiscussionChairs: Senne van Loon, Mark Zelinka, Patrick Taylor
12:10LUNCH
Theme 1: Science of Earth’s Energy Imbalance
13:40Energy Imbalance in the Sunlit Ocean LayerGael Forget
MIT
14:00How Historical and Future Radiative Forcing Shapes the Evolution and Spatial Structure of Earth’s Energy ImbalanceLynn Hirose
Princeton University
14:20Excessive 21st century solar absorption in the North Pacific basin attributed to poleward shift of the storm tracks and to aerosol emission decreasesGeorge Tselioudis
NASA GISS, Columbia University
14:40Climate models with moderate climate sensitivity best simulate the magnitude of Earth’s energy imbalanceKyriaki Bimpiri
Stockholm University (v)
15:00Limits in the Current EEI Observing System and Scientific Benefits of Continuity and Improved Accuracy, Precision and StabilityBenoit Meyssignac
LEGOS
15:20BREAK
15:40Posters Theme 1
Theme 1 Science of EEI – Energy & Water Cycle focus
16:20An observational constraint on land surface energy partitioning reveals stronger future atmospheric heating over landWeijie Zhang
UC Berkeley (v)
16:40Gauge-Invariant Atmospheric Energy Flux: Extracting Key Structures in Atmospheric Energy TransportKuniaki Inoue
Columbia University & NASA GISS
17:00Discussion Theme 1Chairs: Senne van Loon, Mark Zelinka, Patrick Taylor
17:40ADJOURN

Tuesday 2 June 2026


Theme 2: Advances in estimating Ocean Heat Content and Earth’s heat inventory
Chairs: Donata Giglio, Andrew Delman, Lisan Yu, Jim Reagan
08:00RegistrationWing Sze Lui-Small, JPL
08:30LogisticsMaria Hakuba, JPL
08:40Earth’s heat inventoryKarina v. Schuckman (invited)
Mercator Ocean (v)
09:00Towards daily, near-global ground heat flux estimates from machine learning methodsFrancisco José Cuesta-Valero
Leipzig University (v)
09:20Assessing regional Ocean Heat Content based on a consistently processed GRACE(-FO) gravity, satellite altimetry and in-situ Argo profile data record within a joint inversion schemeBernd Uebbing
University of Bonn (v)
09:40Estimating Ocean Heat Content from the Propagation Speed of Long-Range Internal TidesZhongxiang Zhao
University of Washington (v)
10:00BREAK
Theme 2: In-situ Focus
10:20MapEval4OceanHeat (ME4OH): an objective assessment of mapping methods used to estimate ocean heat content changeDonata Giglio (invited)
University of Colorado (v)
10:40Locally stationary Argo Ocean heat content estimates: Modeling, validation and uncertainty quantificationMikael Kuusela
Carnegie Mellon University (v)
11:00Advances in spatio-temporal modeling of ocean heat content with Argo floatsThea Sukianto
Carnegie Mellon University
11:20Updates and Improvements to RFROM ocean heat content estimatesJohn Lyman
PMEL/CIMAR (v)
11:40Discussion Theme 2 (Part 1)Chairs: Donata Giglio, Andrew Delman, Lisan Yu, Jim Reagan
12:10LUNCH
13:40Posters Theme 2
Theme 2: Satellite, Model and Deep Ocean Focus
14:10A Shortened History of Ocean Temperature and Heat Flux DeterminationsCarl Wunsch (v) (invited)
MIT
14:40Inferring Ocean Heat Uptake from Satellite Gravimetry and AltimetryAndrew Delman
JPL
15:00Ocean heat uptake estimate from a combination of Altimetry, gravimetry and in-situ data allows to close the energy budget at the ±0.5 Wm-2 level (2σ) on yearly time scaleThomas Duvignacq
CNRS / LEGOS
15:20Uncertainty in Ocean heat uptake estimate from the combination of Altimetry, gravimetry and in-situ dataRobin Fraudeau
Magellium
15:40BREAK
16:00OHC Variability from the Latest ECCO State EstimateIan Fenty
JPL
16:20Ocean Heat uptake and its relationship to rising SST in the NCEI and SODA4 productsJim Carton
University of Maryland
16:40Detecting Long-Term Deep-Ocean Steric Changes through Sea Level Budget Analysis Remains Challenging Xinfeng Liang
University of Delaware
17:00Refined Estimates of Global Ocean Deep and Abyssal Decadal Warming TrendsGregory Johnson
Univ. of Washington & NOAA PMEL (v)
17:20Discussion Theme 2 (Part 2)Chairs: Donata Giglio, Andrew Delman, Lisan Yu, Jim Reagan
18:00ADJOURN

Wednesday 3 June 2026


Theme 3: Earth radiation at the TOA, surface and in the atmosphere
Chairs: Ryan Kramer, George Tselioudis, Clare Singer
08:00RegistrationWing Sze Lui-Small, JPL
08:30LogisticsMaria Hakuba, JPL
08:40Attribution of the Earth’s Energy Imbalance and implications for the futureGavin Schmidt
NASA (v) (invited)
09:00Negligible Contribution from Aerosols to Recent Trends in Earth’s Energy ImbalanceChanyoung Park
University of Miami (v)
09:20Investigating regional contributions to anomalies of global TOA, surface, and atmospheric irradiance change using satellite observationsSeiji Kato
NASA Langley Research Center (v)
09:40Developing Radiative Forcing & Feedback Climate Data Records for Understanding Observed Radiation Trends and Evaluating ModelsRyan Kramer
NOAA GFDL (v)
10:00BREAK
10:20Observation-based Estimate of Radiative Feedback and Effective Radiative ForcingSenne van Loon
Colorado State University
10:40Observed trends in the Earth’s energy imbalance suggest a potentially high equilibrium climate sensitivityXianan Jiang
UCLA
11:00Large-Scale Shifts in Regional Atmospheric Radiative Absorption Driven by CMIP7 Aerosol Forcing UpdatesChongxing Fan
Princeton University
11:20Discussion Theme 3 (Part 1)Chairs: Ryan Kramer, George Tselioudis, Claire Singer
12:00LUNCH & Transfer to JPL
13:00JPL Tour Start
15:30JPL Tour End
17:30No-host Dinner

Thursday 4 June 2026


Theme 3: Earth radiation at the TOA, surface and in the atmosphere
Chairs: Ryan Kramer, George Tselioudis, Clare Singer
08:00RegistrationWing Sze Lui-Small, JPL
08:30LogisticsMaria Hakuba, JPL
08:40Recent cloud trends and extremes reaffirm established bounds on cloud feedback and aerosol-cloud interactionsMark Zelinka (invited)
Lawrence Livermore National Lab
09:00How the planet’s prevailing cloud systems govern the variability of net TOA radiation and EEILazaros Oreopoulos
NASA-GSFC
09:20Earth hemispheric albedo symmetries and their implication for EEIJianhao Zhang
Univ. of Colo. Boulder/NOAA CSL
09:40Assessing Earth’s energy imbalance trend in the early 21st century in two high-resolution coupled modelsYan-Ting Chen
Princeton University
10:00BREAK
Theme 3: Earth radiation at the TOA, surface and in the atmosphere
10:20Assessing the reliability of surface radiation measurements for trends within surface energy budget observationsLaura Riihimaki (invited)
CIRES/CU Boulder/NOAA GML
10:40Confirming a Critical Foundation of Global Warming: Direct Observational Evidence from Space of the Impact of CO2 Growth on Longwave Spectral RadiancesJoao Teixeira
JPL
11:00Global trends in Earth’s spectrally resolved outgoing longwave radiationMareya Saba
Princeton University
11:20SORACES: Method and instrument design for more accurate estimation of annual changes in spectral outgoing radiation (200-1100 nm)Christoph Jacobi
Leipzig University (v)
11:40Posters Theme 3
12:30LUNCH
Theme 3: Earth radiation at the TOA, surface and in the atmosphere
14:00Discussion Theme 3 (Part 2)Chairs: Ryan Kramer, George Tselioudis, Claire Singer
Theme 4: Future Ocean, ERB and EEI Observing Systems
14:40Framework for an Earth Radiation Budget Satellite Mission: An Imperative to Track and Understand Earth’s Energy ImbalanceNorman Loeb (invited)
NASA Langley Research Center
15:00Earth’s Radiation Budget Observations from Space: Progress on and Risks to ContinuityPeter Pilewskie (invited)
LASP/CU
15:20Prospects for Earth Energy Imbalance Research and Applications within the NASA Earth Science DivisionDavid Considine
NASA (v)
15:40BREAK
16:00What are the data requirements for addressing science questions as the radiation budget record gets longer?Mark Richardson
JPL
16:20Exploring the angular dimension of Earth’s Radiation Budget with LiberaJake Gristey
CIRES / NOAA CSL / LASP
16:40ECO, an Earth Explorer 12 candidate: unveiling EEI to steer climate actionThomas August
ESA
17:00Bridging the Gap: Addressing Earth Radiation Budget Continuity via a Novel SmallSat ApproachAlexander Jarnot
NASA Langley Research Center
17:20Discussion Theme 4 (Part 1)Chairs: Mark Richardson, James Reagan, Benoit Meyssignac
17:40ADJOURN

Friday 5 June 2026


Theme 4: Future Ocean, ERB and EEI Observing Systems
08:00RegistrationWing Sze Lui-Small, JPL
08:30LogisticsMaria Hakuba, JPL
08:40The Earth Climate Observatory space mission concept for the monitoring of the Earth Energy Imbalance and the Earth Radiation BudgetSteven Dewitte
Royal Observatory of Belgium (v)
09:00On the horizon: the Earth Climate Observatory (ECO)Björn Linder
Stockholm University (v)
09:20Sampling the Earth’s energy imbalance with the Earth Climate Observatory (ECO) constellationThomas Hocking
Stockholm University (v)
09:40Measuring the Earth’s Energy Imbalance from satellite accelerometryLluc R. Busquets Soler
University of Colorado/JPL
10:00Feasibility study of a time-mean Earth energy imbalance estimate derived from Satellite Laser Ranging measurement of the Earth Radiation PressureAlice Chapiron
CNES / GET, University of Toulouse
10:20BREAK
Theme 4: Earth radiation at the TOA, surface and in the atmosphere
10:40NASA Atmosphere Investigator Meeting Out-briefPatrick Taylor
NASA Langley Research Center
11:00Discussion Theme 4 (Part 2)Chairs: Mark Richardson, James Reagan, Benoit Meyssignac
11:40Recommendations by Theme & Wrap-upTheme Chairs
12:30Meeting Adjourn/LUNCH
14:00GDAP Report planning Chairs (Open to all)
16:00ADJOURN

Posters


Theme 1: Future Ocean, ERB and EEI Observing Systems
01vExpectations for EEI trends from reduced-complexity frameworksBoriana Chtirkova
Princeton University (v)
01Early-Stage Investigation of Optical Effects of Black Carbon Inclusions within Cloud DropletsHasnaa Shosha
Michigan Technological University
02GRACE water storage change constrains land energy partitioning and co-evolves with CERES net radiationElahe Tajfar, JPL
02vFlux-Driven Surface Temperature Responses to Forest-Cropland Transitions in India Using the ICON ModelJyoti Sharma
Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Bhopal (v)
03Above ground energy and water fluxes reveal groundwater dynamics in tropical peatlandsRui Cheng
Claremont McKenna College
Theme 2: Advances in estimating Ocean Heat Content and Earth’s heat inventory
04Mode water, a key pathway for earth energy imbalance to deep oceanYuanyuan Song, MIT
05Sensitivity of Global Ocean Heat Content Estimates Under Different Vertical and Horizontal ResolutionsJames Reagan
NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI
06A new analytical framework for estimating ocean heat content from satellite altimetry, space gravimetry, and in situ observationsSebastien Fourest, CNES
Theme 3: Earth radiation at the TOA, surface and in the atmosphere
03vThe Pattern Effect Down Under: Southern Ocean cloud regime transitions control evolution of climate sensitivity across climate modelsKillian McSweeney
Colorado State University
04vInteger structures in 30 years of GEWEX dataMiklos Zagoni
Eotvos Lorand University (v)
07Spatial structure of land evapotranspiration partitioning as a missing constraint on Earth’s radiative variabilityElahe Tajfar, JPL
08Top-of-Atmosphere Longwave Flux Retrievals from AIRS Using CERES and Machine LearningChris Wilson, JPL
09New Hyperspectral Infrared Sounder Products and Tools for Characterizing Earth’s Radiation BudgetQing Yue, JPL
10ESA’s Ninth Earth Explorer mission FORUM – characterizing the far-infrared spectrum of Earth’s outgoing long-wave radiationEd Malina, ESA
11EarthCARE Synergy Products and Their Contribution to Constraining Earth’s Energy ImbalanceEd Malina, ESA